BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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UNC Wilmington

Class: 1 Class Rank: 125 Overall: (27-7) Overall Strength =   29.52
Conference: Colonial Record: (13-3) | District: 1-02 Record: (24-7)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    W      29.37 106  77   ZZ  70 ( 0- 1) Mt Olive               -0.00 *   29.00                      
 2 11-10-2025 Away    L   *  20.41  77  86    1 151 (24-10) Kent                   -8.97     -0.03                      
 3 11-15-2025 Home    W   *  28.74  73  60    1 306 (13-19) SC Upstate             -0.64     13.64                      
 4 11-18-2025 Home    W   *  42.36  85  60    1 242 (11-20) East Carolina          12.99     12.01                      
 5 11-21-2025 Away    W   *  30.33  81  73    1 272 (16-16) Radford                 0.96      7.04                      
 6 11-26-2025 Home    W   *  28.81  70  57    1 282 ( 9-22) SE Louisiana           -0.56     13.56                      
 7 11-28-2025 Home    W   *  53.43  87  57    1 159 (26- 8) Navy                   24.06      5.94                      
 8 11-29-2025 Home    W   *  28.43  88  62    1 357 ( 4-29) Gardner Webb           -0.94 *   26.94                      
 9 12-03-2025 Home    W   *  23.03  70  69    1 187 (20-13) Marshall               -6.34      7.34                      
10 12-06-2025 Away    W   *  25.33  70  63    1 307 (11-22) Louisiana              -4.05     11.05                      
11 12-13-2025 Away    W   *  31.99  73  70    1 164 (18-15) Valparaiso              2.61      0.39                      
12 12-20-2025 Home    L   *  20.64  66  67    1 201 (24-11) Howard                 -8.74      7.74                      
13 12-27-2025 Home    W      25.85 100  56   ZZ 194 ( 0- 2) Columbia SC            -3.53 *   47.53                      
14 12-29-2025 Away    W * *  29.81  87  78    1 284 (11-19) NC A&T                  0.43      8.57                      
15 12-31-2025 Home    W * *  31.97  65  53    1 222 (17-16) Drexel                  2.60      9.40                      
16 01-03-2026 Home    W * *  21.14  49  45    1 271 (13-19) Hampton                -8.24     12.24                      
17 01-08-2026 Away    W * *  30.49  87  78    1 278 ( 7-24) Northeastern            1.11      7.89                      
18 01-10-2026 Away    W * *  28.77  75  71    1 227 (17-15) Stony Brook            -0.60      4.60                      
19 01-17-2026 Home    W   *  25.24  78  75    1 191 (16-18) Campbell               -4.14      7.14                      
20 01-22-2026 Away    L * *  22.88  70  77    1 145 (20-12) William & Mary         -6.50     -0.50                      
21 01-24-2026 Away    W * *  30.54  75  67    1 271 (13-19) Hampton                 1.17      6.83                      
22 01-29-2026 Away    W * *  38.43  82  73    1 167 (19-15) Towson                  9.05     -0.05                      
23 02-05-2026 Home    L * *  17.47  78  85    1 145 (20-12) William & Mary        -11.90      4.90                      
24 02-09-2026 Away    W * *  40.78  76  64    1 169 (21-11) Col Charleston         11.41      0.59                      
25 02-12-2026 Home    W * *  30.17  65  54    1 231 (14-18) Elon                    0.80     10.20                      
26 02-14-2026 Home    W * *  33.50  70  66    1 101 (24-11) Hofstra                 4.12     -0.12                      
27 02-19-2026 Home    W * *  32.71  79  69    1 177 (19-15) Monmouth NJ             3.33      6.67                      
28 02-21-2026 Away    W   *  32.64  73  68    1 191 (16-18) Campbell                3.27      1.73                      
29 02-26-2026 Home    W * *  38.40  88  65    1 284 (11-19) NC A&T                  9.03     13.97                      
30 03-01-2026 Home    L * *  20.38  76  79    1 169 (21-11) Col Charleston         -9.00      6.00                      
31 03-03-2026 Away    W * *  43.57  76  57    1 231 (14-18) Elon                   14.20      4.80                      
32 03-08-2026 Neutral L   *   9.94  70  85    1 191 (16-18) Campbell              -19.44      4.44                      
33 03-17-2026 Away    W      37.75  68  67    1  89 (24- 7) Yale                    8.38     -7.38                      
34 03-21-2026 Home    L   *  13.43  61  80    1  79 (25-12) Dayton                -15.95     -3.05                      
      Averages              29.37  76.3 68.0

Best game:   53.43 = 30 point win over Navy
Worst game:   9.94 = 15 point loss to Campbell
Team stdev:   8.84